Mafia Questionnaire / Sailor Moon FM - Town Victory

Frankly, with a solid, Cream and Joker combo,
and now no night kill, I don't see how we can possibly lose

Right now its just math and working down the list until it just joker and cream is left. The question is how quickly or how long it takes, before scum just conceeds.

 

We have left, as players:
Cream, joker, blitz, euph, bobegg, solhua, me.
Scenarios:
1.a) Lynch town -> 4/2
1.b) Lynch mafia -> 5/1

No night kill

2.aa) lynch town -> 3/2
Night kill -> 2/2 mafia win
2.ab) lynch mafia -> 4/1
Night kill -> 3/1

2.ba) lynch town -> 4/1
Night kill -> 3/1
2.bb) lynch mafia -> 4/0 town wim


3/1 is 1 mislynch away from parity as well.

So no, not totally decided yet

 

Hey, if y'all are bored with the status quo, would you rather have me shorten the phases from 48/24 to 36/12?

Answer in your own Role PM.
Do not discuss this here.

 

So, we have at most 3 lynches.
If you say only cream and joker are town, they could very well be a night kill.
With my understanding, basically assured town is currently: joker, cream, me, solhua.
That is four, so a little better.
...though, ya, if the two mafia are both in bobegg/euph/blitz, it's basically over

 

My pick is bobegg solhua and blitz
and I trust you via Gonz passive... kinda...
So POE.
Scum is dead. pretty much

 

@Tilgarial
Are you going to be there EOD?

Can you unvote blitz so I can vote for him?

I am feeling the need to further vindicate myself...

 

Day 4 Vote Count

1. @Bobasis/@Martialegg
2. @Joker13 - eggsis
   
3. @Manhuas2Life/@SpearOfLies
   
4. @Cream - Blitz
5. @LiLi041 - Modkilled D2, Usagi Tsukino (Neutral Hoodlum / Hobo)
6. @Ddraig @Ruaan - Killed N4, Minako Aino (Town Fruit Vendor / Virgin)
7. @GonZ555 - Lynched D4, Haruka Tenou (Mafia Redirector / Medicine Man)
8. @Euphues
9. @Tilgarial
10. @Blitz
11. @Svalinn - Killed N3, Michiru Kaiou (Town Undercover Cop)
12. @Polar_cruise - Lynched D3, Makoto Kino (Town Alignment / Insane Cop)

--- --- ---
Blitz - 1
eggsis - 1
--- --- ---
Majority is reached at 4 votes.
Here is your timer.
--- --- ---

Unvote for somebody else to vote without getting into hammer distance

 

Day 4 Vote Count

1. @Bobasis/@Martialegg
2. @Joker13 - eggsis
   
3. @Manhuas2Life/@SpearOfLies
   
4. @Cream - Blitz
5. @LiLi041 - Modkilled D2, Usagi Tsukino (Neutral Hoodlum / Hobo)
6. @Ddraig @Ruaan - Killed N4, Minako Aino (Town Fruit Vendor / Virgin)
7. @GonZ555 - Lynched D4, Haruka Tenou (Mafia Redirector / Medicine Man)
8. @Euphues - Blitz
9. @Tilgarial
10. @Blitz
11. @Svalinn - Killed N3, Michiru Kaiou (Town Undercover Cop)
12. @Polar_cruise - Lynched D3, Makoto Kino (Town Alignment / Insane Cop)

--- --- ---
Blitz - 2
eggsis - 1
--- --- ---
Majority is reached at 4 votes.
Here is your timer.
--- --- ---

 

G'nite

 

Morning

I feel like every single argument for me being scum boils down me hammering polar early and the others having some form of confirmation on them already.

Well for polar, the most I'd say is that we were planning to hammer him early at that but because zone was offline, we decided not to. Later on the game had stagnated and I was impatient so I decided to hammer him. Was it the best call? Definitely not

 

Also If I flip scum it should instantly place Boba under suspicion because they said they had been visited, which indirectly supports my claims of being a fruit vendor.
Also they confirmed that their ability had been recharged by Eupheus.
Finally we still know nothing about their ability.

So regardless of the situation it could be seen that Bobaegg could be W/W with both me and Eupheus

 

If we continue with our initial belief of their being 2 scums, would put them as the most likely of being one.

 

Notice: An event is coming up...

 

Why do you do this to yourself?

 

To hasten this game's end.

 

In an effort to truly outdo my uselessness, I have decided NOT to bother even looking for the last scum.

<EXPLANATION: You can skip this>
​

Spoiler

D3 start: #1206

#1271 - SOL claims that he received the message "Tilgarial is Mafia"

Spoiler

#1463 - Svalinn claims he received the message "Joker is Mafia"

Spoiler

SOL's post was the first mention of the "X is mafia" message. GonZ was unlikely to know about his passive at this time, therefore it's not something that could be easily faked.

Therefore, the only two possibilities are that:

• GonZ targeted scum SOLhua as first target, and that's how SOLhua knew.
  • We invalidate this theory because why would scum GonZ bother casting a redirect on him scumbuddy.
• GonZ targeted town SOLhua as first target, and that's how SOL knew.
  • This is probably the truest explanation.

Therefore, let's just clear SOL as town, which clears Tilga as town.

Town clears: Cream, Joker, Tila, SOLhua

POE: Eggsis, Euphie, Blitz

There can't be 3 mafia left since we aren't at LYLO. So, there are between 1-2 mafia left. Let's just assume worst case scenario: 2 mafia left. 5 town left. In that case, we have ONE mislynch left and our POE size is 3, meaning we have 2 scum + 1 mislynch in there.

Let's assume we have one mafia left. 1 mafia, 6 town. In that case, we would have TWO mislynches left and our POE size is 3, meaning we have 1 scum + 2 mislynches in there.

No matter what the scenario is, it literally doesn't matter.

<END EXPLANATION: Read from here down>
​

Therefore, I propose that we just rand between Blitz, Euphie, and Eggsis. Whoever gets rolled gets hammered.

I can't even be bothered to use my brain anymore at this point.

In honor of Joker, let's just rand everything.

Blitz = 1
Euphie = 2
Eggsis = 3​

 

!roll 1,3

 

NUF Dice Roller

Min: 1
Max: 3

@Cream, you rolled a 1

 

Okay, let's hammer Blitz.

@Bobasis @Martialegg @Manhuas2Life @SpearOfLies @Tilgarial @Blitz

 

If you guys want to do the event, we can hammer after the event.